18 min drive to beach
Playa Junquillal · Guanacaste
HOT DEAL! at $30/m2 ~ Flat Riverfront Lot Near Playa Junquillal
Lots · 7,061 m² lot
$180,000
View broker listing ↗via RE/MAX Ocean Surf & Sun · land asking
Land · build scenario
Build yield (modeled)
—
no income until built
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Methodology
Comps & math
Start with the estimate blend — then scope, subject, search criteria, funnel, reconciliation, and exclusions. Same deterministic engine as the published estimate.
§1
Estimate blend & adjustments
Yearly income from the comps that move our published estimate — map synced with the table. Switch to Your estimate to pick which Airbnbs to use (same math, your set). Map yield stays our published number.
Pick at least 2 Airbnbs to estimate.
🏠 Subject 22 left out
Click a pin to add or remove it from your estimate. Hover a row to highlight the matching pin.
Available nearby (22 of 22 · 4.5 km)
Same product type, nearest first — add any to your estimate. Filters apply to this list and gray map pins.
22 of 22 · 1 proven / 21 unproven
| Pick | Comp | Type | Size | TTM rev | Match | Why excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Fox House 0.4 km · 5.00★ (4) | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $6k $103/nt · 44% occ $6k × 1.25 bed = $8k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Celine House
In Guanacaste, Playa Negra 0.6 km · 4.50★ (9) | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/2BA sleeps 5 | $10k $135/nt · 35% occ $10k × 1.25 bed = $13k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Rio Verde Jungle Casita 1.3 km · 5.00★ (3) | Unknown | 2BR/2BA sleeps 5 | $12k $145/nt · 60% occ $12k × 1.25 bed = $15k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
belle maison proche des plages. 1.4 km · 5.00★ (8) | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $2k $89/nt · 21% occ $2k × 1.25 bed = $3k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Trogón - montaña y playa 1.6 km · 4.50★ (19) | Home / villa (title) | 4BR/2BA sleeps 10 | $20k $270/nt · 22% occ $20k × 0.80 bed = $16k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Villa conejo 1.9 km · 5.00★ (5) | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/2BA sleeps 7 | $3k $54/nt · 20% occ $3k × 1.25 bed = $4k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Private House with pool, fire pit and BBQ ranch. 2.6 km · 5.00★ (7) | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 10 | $20k $247/nt · 37% occ $20k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Two-bedroom budget eco cottage near Tamarindo 3.0 km · 5.00★ (9) | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $3k $62/nt · 36% occ $3k × 1.25 bed = $4k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Paraiso - Pool & Near Beaches 3.3 km | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/1BA sleeps 6 | $9k $218/nt · 60% occ $9k × 1.25 bed = $11k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Ocean-View Tree House Surrounded by Nature 3.3 km · 4.50★ (13)ocean view | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $19k $209/nt · 32% occ $19k × 1.25 bed × 0.74 loc = $18k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Margodine 3.4 km · 5.00★ (3) | Home / villa (title) | 4BR/4BA sleeps 8 | $18k $553/nt · 27% occ $18k × 0.80 bed = $14k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Ocean View Jungle Tree House - 3BR 3.4 km · 5.00★ (19)ocean view | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 8 | $11k $164/nt · 44% occ $11k × 0.74 loc = $9k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa de Descanso Mankü ~ Mankü Retreat House 3.6 km · 4.00★ (3) | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 10 | $19k $306/nt · 41% occ $19k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
#ecologicalstay near Playa Negra #casaoztica EV 🔌 3.8 km · 5.00★ (34)tier b | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $3k $92/nt · 21% occ $3k × 1.25 bed = $4k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Apartment Pinilla with 2 room, kitch, a/c 4.0 km · 4.50★ (7) | Condo (title) | 2BR/1BA sleeps 5 | $8k $116/nt · 31% occ $8k × 1.25 bed = $10k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casas DiTi Paradise 3 4.1 km · 0.00★ (2)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/1BA sleeps 8 | $5k $190/nt · 20% occ $5k × 1.25 bed = $6k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Villa Langosta, Paraíso Escondido 4.1 km · 5.00★ (42)proven | Entire home | 3BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $7k $123/nt · 26% occ $7k | Loose | Left out of headline pin pool — ring, community lock, or blend cap. | |
Caballito de Mar 4.1 km · 5.00★ (10) | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 6 | $8k $161/nt · 32% occ $8k × 1.25 bed = $10k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Altos de Pinilla 4.3 km · 0.00★ (2) | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 7 | $7k $158/nt · 28% occ $7k × 1.25 bed = $8k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Paraiso 4.4 km · 5.00★ (5)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 9 | $8k $188/nt · 20% occ $8k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Playa montaña y sol , Pinilla Santa Cruz 4.4 km | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 5 | $41k $112/nt · 100% occ $41k × 1.25 bed = $51k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Playa montaña y sol, Pinilla Tamarindo 4.5 km | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 5 | $2k $106/nt · 14% occ $2k × 1.25 bed = $3k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). |
§2
Assignment scope & assumptions
- Engine
- V5 · lot
- Blend method
- Weighted blend
- Estimate basis
- Low indication
- Intended use
- Investor due-diligence support
Automated STR income screen for investor due diligence — not a USPAP appraisal, not a broker price opinion, not investment advice.
§3
Subject property
- Product
- Lots · land
- Size
- —BR
- Asking
- $180k
§4
Market search criteria
- Radius: 4.5 km from subject coordinates.
- Bed band: 3BR ±1 (adjacent sizes scaled, not mixed blindly).
- Operator filter: 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM.
- Comp basis: nearby proven-operator anchor pool.
- V5 strict product type — Airbnb propertyType + title gate (condo vs home lane).
- Operator descale — elite track records (4.9★+ / deep reviews) stripped on comp TTM; for-sale subjects start unproven.
§5
Comp selection funnel
1Market search22All unique STR comps within 4.5 km of subject pin.
2Proven operators24.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM
3Headline blend0Positive-weight picks that move published headline.
- Apple-to-apple — only 1/2 non-view proven; ocean-view comps excluded.
- Apple-to-apple — only 1/2 non-beachfront proven; beach/walk comps excluded.
- Insufficient apple-to-apple proven operators (1/2) — headline withheld.
- Headline withheld — insufficient apple-to-apple proven operators.
§7
Rejected from pool
23 comps did not move the estimate — summary by exclusion reason. Full list (same product type as subject) is collapsed under §1 Estimate blend.
Not proven operator (21)Outside headline blend (1)
§8
Reconciliation
- Headline withheld — no comps cleared the proof gate and weight filters.
Comp band winsor (V3/V4)
- V3 caps scaled comp revenue at pool p90×1.1 before the weighted headline band when spread is wide.
- No comps required capping for this listing — band was already tight.
Location gap (tier 1)
- Subject has at least one premium location trait (ocean view, walk-to-beach, or beachfront) — no tier-1 location haircut applied.
Product positioning (tier 2)
- Gallery segment not confident — positioning haircut only when finish/segment are known.
- No tier-2 positioning haircut — standard segment and rental-ready finish.
What runs when the pool clears
- We rank feasible bed × finish tiers, weight proven comps (60% map distance + 40% beds), and publish the best defensible gross yield on all-in cost.
- No ocean view on broker listing — headline uses non-view comps (apple-to-apple).
- Verify land price, build cost, and title before offering.
§9
Limiting conditions
- —Broker asking price and listing copy — not verified sale or operating statements.
- —STR revenue from AirROI trailing-twelve-months; forward seasonality not projected separately.
- —Gallery vision segment is photo-based; finish gaps may lag physical inspection.
- —Coordinates approximate when broker omits parcel pin — headline withheld.
- —Gross yield excludes capex, furnishing, management, tax, and financing.
Next steps
Automated screen — open Check before you offer for what still needs a human double-check before you wire. Want me in the loop? Deal Desk builds a shortlist around homes like this.