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Sereno Reserve Villa A - Bahia Papagayo, CR
walk to beach

Playa Flamingo · Guanacaste

Sereno Reserve Villa A - Bahia Papagayo, CR

Condos · 2 bd · 2 ba · 1,432 sqft

via Flamingo Beach Realty · asking

Double-check first
Estimated yearly income for this property
From successful nearby Airbnbs after bed and finish adjustments.
on asking
Conservative· Our estimate
2%
$14k/yr
Moderate
2%
$21k/yr
Optimistic
3%
$23k/yr

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Methodology

Comps & math

Start with the estimate blend — then scope, subject, search criteria, funnel, reconciliation, and exclusions. Same deterministic engine as the published estimate.

§1

Estimate blend & adjustments

Yearly income from the comps that move our published estimate — map synced with the table. Switch to Your estimate to pick which Airbnbs to use (same math, your set). Map yield stays our published number.

Pick at least 2 Airbnbs to estimate.

🏠 Subject 22 left out

Click a pin to add or remove it from your estimate. Hover a row to highlight the matching pin.

Available nearby (22 of 22 · 4 km)

Same product type, nearest first — add any to your estimate. Filters apply to this list and gray map pins.

22 of 22 · 10 proven / 12 unproven
PickCompTypeSizeTTM revMatchWhy excluded
PH Condo Elegant Lovely view, enjoy the Sea, 65”TV
0.4 km · 5.00★ (14)walk to beachocean view
Rental unit → Condo (title)
Entire rental unit
2BR/2BA
sleeps 4
$27k
$346/nt · 37% occ
$27k × 0.88 loc = $24k
StrongNot a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM).
Oceanview Villa w/Covered Patio | Walk to Beach
2.5 km · 5.00★ (76)provenstrong opwalk to beachocean view
Entire condo
1BR/1BA
sleeps 4
$25k
$130/nt · 76% occ
$25k × 1.25 bed × 0.74 loc × 0.93 operator = $22k
LooseOcean-view listing — apple-to-apple pool uses non-view comps only.
Beautiful condo/covered balcony with ocean view!!
2.6 km · 5.00★ (94)ocean view
Condo (title)
1BR/1BA
sleeps 4
$9k
$126/nt · 62% occ
$9k × 1.25 bed × 0.74 loc = $9k
LooseNot a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM).
Amazing Oceanview Condo with Private Pool
2.7 km · 5.00★ (587)provenlegend opwalk to beachocean view
Entire condo
3BR/2BA
sleeps 6
$60k
$197/nt · 89% occ
$60k × 0.91 bed × 0.74 loc × 0.81 operator = $33k
LooseOcean-view listing — apple-to-apple pool uses non-view comps only.
3BR ocean-view condo with pools & scenic balcony
2.8 km · 4.50★ (52)walk to beachocean view
Rental unit → Condo (title)
Entire rental unit
3BR/2BA
sleeps 8
$11k
$220/nt · 23% occ
$11k × 0.91 bed × 0.74 loc = $8k
LooseNot a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM).
Cozy Resort Beach Condo in Playa Hermosa
2.8 km · 5.00★ (104)provenelite op
Condo (title)
1BR/1BA
sleeps 4
$20k
$149/nt · 53% occ
$20k × 1.25 bed × 0.88 operator = $22k
LooseDid not enter weighted blend.
Spacious 3 Bedroom Condo - Walk to the Beach
3.1 km · 5.00★ (45)provenwalk to beach
Entire condo
3BR/3BA
sleeps 6
$50k
$214/nt · 77% occ
$50k × 0.91 bed = $45k
LooseDid not enter weighted blend.
Condo luxury, ocean view, near the beach
3.1 km · 5.00★ (26)walk to beachocean viewluxe STR (title)tier b
Condo (title)
2BR/2BA
sleeps 4
$37k
$362/nt · 56% occ
$37k × 0.86 luxe × 0.71 loc = $23k
FairNot a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM).
Luxury Condo in Playa Hermosa Steps from the Beach
3.1 km · 5.00★ (15)walk to beachluxe STR (title)
Condo (title)
2BR/2BA
sleeps 6
$36k
$248/nt · 87% occ
$36k × 0.86 luxe = $31k
FairNot a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM).
Beachfront 3 bdrm in Playa Hermosa!
3.2 km · 5.00★ (136)provenelite opbeachfrontocean view
Rental unit
Entire rental unit
3BR/4BA
sleeps 6
$97k
$544/nt · 65% occ
$97k × 0.91 bed × 0.66 loc × 0.88 operator = $51k
LooseOcean-view listing — apple-to-apple pool uses non-view comps only.
Hermosa del Mar Luxury Beach Apt.
3.2 km · 5.00★ (103)provenelite opluxe STR (title)
Rental unit → Condo (title)
Entire rental unit
2BR/2BA
sleeps 6
$27k
$273/nt · 49% occ
$27k × 0.86 luxe × 0.88 operator = $20k
Fair
Hermoso Studio, Pool view #2
3.2 km · 4.50★ (20)tier b
Condo (title)
1BR/1BA
sleeps 2
$9k
$94/nt · 44% occ
$9k × 1.25 bed × 0.96 loc = $11k
LooseNot a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM).
Hermoso Studio, Aparthotel Hermosa Paradise
3.3 km · 4.50★ (7)
Condo (title)
1BR/1BA
sleeps 2
$10k
$100/nt · 48% occ
$10k × 1.25 bed = $13k
LooseNot a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM).
Casa Blonies - Designer Beach Apt. - Coco Suite
3.5 km · 5.00★ (53)provenstrong opwalk to beach
Rental unit → Condo (title)
Entire rental unit
2BR/2BA
sleeps 4
$45k
$197/nt · 73% occ
$45k × 0.93 operator = $42k
Loose
Brand new condo in Playa Hermosa
3.5 km · 5.00★ (32)provenwalk to beach
Rental unit → Condo (title)
Entire rental unit
2BR/2BA
sleeps 4
$25k
$198/nt · 50% occ
$25k
Loose
Sol y Mar 3B • Beachfront 3BR Condo Playa Hermosa
3.6 km · 5.00★ (14)beachfront
Condo (title)
3BR/3BA
sleeps 6
$80k
$433/nt · 61% occ
$80k × 0.91 bed × 0.88 loc = $64k
LooseNot a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM).
Hermoso Apartamento#1 en Condominio Vista Hermosa
3.6 km · 5.00★ (91)provenstrong op
Entire condo
2BR/2BA
sleeps 6
$13k
$100/nt · 50% occ
$13k × 0.88 loc × 0.93 operator = $11k
LooseBeachfront listing — subject is not beachfront (apple-to-apple pool).
Bright condo w/ ocean views & pool access
3.7 km · 5.00★ (9)ocean view
Condo (title)
3BR/3BA
sleeps 8
$32k
$476/nt · 27% occ
$32k × 0.91 bed × 0.74 loc = $22k
LooseNot a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM).
Playa Hermosa: walk to beach, ground floor 2 b/rm
3.8 km · 5.00★ (60)provenstrong opwalk to beach
Entire condo
2BR/2BA
sleeps 4
$33k
$139/nt · 85% occ
$33k × 0.93 operator = $31k
Loose
CasaGuana
3.8 km · 4.50★ (26)walk to beach
Rental unit
Entire rental unit
3BR/3BA
sleeps 8
$19k
$224/nt · 33% occ
$19k × 0.91 bed = $17k
LooseNot a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM).
Sol y Mar 4A • Beachfront 3BR Ocean View
3.8 km · 5.00★ (19)beachfrontocean view
Entire condo
3BR/3BA
sleeps 6
$63k
$356/nt · 73% occ
$63k × 0.91 bed × 0.66 loc = $38k
LooseNot a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM).
Beautiful quiet 2 bedroom apartment
4.0 kmtier b
Condo (title)
2BR/1BA
sleeps 4
$20k
$134/nt · 44% occ
$20k × 0.93 operator = $19k
Loose
§2

Assignment scope & assumptions

Engine
V5 · condo
Blend method
Weighted blend
Estimate basis
Low indication
Intended use
Investor due-diligence support

Automated STR income screen for investor due diligence — not a USPAP appraisal, not a broker price opinion, not investment advice.

§3

Subject property

Product
Condos · STR rentable
Size
2BR / 2BA · 1,432 sqft
Asking
$900k
Gallery segment
Premium
Traits
beachClose, pool, outdoor_dining, patio, gym, workspace, crib, ocean_access_kayak
Headline yield
$14k/yr ÷ $900k = 1.6% gross
§5

Comp selection funnel

1Market search91All unique STR comps within 4 km of subject pin.
2Proven operators434.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM
3Credible + weighted366 received positive weight after filters.
4Headline blend5Positive-weight picks that move published headline.
  • 1 proven operator within 1 km (informational — not a publish gate).
  • Apple-to-apple headline pool — non-view proven operators only (subject has no confirmed ocean view).
  • Apple-to-apple headline pool — walk-to-beach comps only (subject is not beachfront).
  • Pin exact 2BR — 4 of 4 within 4 km.
  • Our estimate comps frozen at enrich — 5 comps (same set that published the yield).
§6

Calculation walkthrough

  1. 1Per-comp scaleraw TTM × bed scale × location descale × operator descaleBed scale bridges ±1BR comps to subject size. Location/luxury descale removes product premiums the subject lacks. Operator descale strips elite track-record lift (4.9★+ / deep reviews) — for-sale buyers start unproven.
  2. 2×Community tier−10% Unlisted condo STR band (Budget (C))
  3. 3Comp weight60% map distance · 40% bedroom matchCloser same-bed comps rank higher; view/walk/luxury/operator descale applied separately.
  4. 4×Near-small-proofConservative bed bridgeV5 condo — no band winsor; weights encode community, view, and walk spread.
  5. 5Weighted bandLow / reconciled / high on 4 headline compsEach comp is bed- and location-scaled first; low and high bracket the blend; reconciled is the weight-averaged adjusted indication.
  6. 6Headline revenueLow indication → $14k/yr
  7. 7÷Gross yield$14k ÷ $900k = 1.6%
§7

Rejected from pool

93 comps did not move the estimate — summary by exclusion reason. Full list (same product type as subject) is collapsed under §1 Estimate blend.

Not proven operator (55)View alignment (14)Product type mismatch (13)Walk / beach alignment (3)Outside headline blend (2)
§8

Reconciliation

  • Headline revenue uses the Low indication from the weighted blend — low and high bracket the adjusted comp range.
  • Largest driver: Casa Blonies - Designer Beach Apt. - Coco Suite (33.9% of weighted blend).
  • 4 of 5 headline comps carry bed, luxury, location, or operator descale before weighting.

Community tier

  • Unlisted condo — Budget (C) (default tier-C haircut when no registered polygon).
  • Same-complex proven STR preferred; ≥3 nearby proven condo comps can anchor when in-complex is thin or unlisted.
  • Corridor villa comps do not anchor budget condo headlines.

V5 condo engine

  • Condo lane — spread from community tier, finish/positioning, view and walk alignment (not pool table stakes).
  • Strict product type: villa/home STR titles are hard-excluded; condo/apt types only (Airbnb propertyType + title).
  • No corridor band winsor or geo pool-gap — comp weights carry location and product fit.
  • Basis: V5 condo · 5 comps · corridor.

Location gap (tier 1)

  • Local comps include beachfront, view, and walk-to-beach operators — we haircut the subject when it lacks those fixed premiums.
  • Apple-to-apple headline pool — non-view proven operators only (subject has no confirmed ocean view).
  • Apple-to-apple headline pool — walk-to-beach comps only (subject is not beachfront).

Product positioning (tier 2)

  • Gallery segment: premium.
  • No tier-2 positioning haircut — standard segment and rental-ready finish.

Our estimate revenue

  • Published estimate: Low indication ~$14k/yr → ~1.6% gross on $900k asking.
  • Basis: V5 condo · 5 comps · corridor.
  • The comp tables below list exactly which rentals received positive weight in this estimate blend.

Other recipe adjustments

  • +12% Gym / fitness (only 33% of nearby rentals have it)
  • -10% no Air conditioning (99% of nearby rentals have it)
  • + Pin exact 2BR — 5 of 5 within 4 km.
  • + No same-type 2BR±1 condo STR (Airbnb propertyType) within 0.5 km — headline widened to corridor (~3.6 km median).
  • + Thin local condo proof — headline uses conservative end of the band.
  • Missing vs local winners (capex to close gap): Air conditioning, Hot tub, BBQ / grill.
  • Top-quartile band uses p75 of the same proven-operator comp pool.

Deal score ingredients

  • Projected gross yield: 2% gross yield (0/55 pts)
  • Discount vs comps-implied value: 575% above comps-implied value (0/30 pts)
  • Revenue potential: ~$14k/yr Low indication revenue (0/15 pts)

Flags & exclusions

  • Few or scattered nearby rentals behind this estimate — lower confidence.
  • Few or no rental comps within 2 km — verify revenue assumptions on the ground.
§9

Limiting conditions

  • Broker asking price and listing copy — not verified sale or operating statements.
  • STR revenue from AirROI trailing-twelve-months; forward seasonality not projected separately.
  • Gallery vision segment is photo-based; finish gaps may lag physical inspection.
  • Coordinates approximate when broker omits parcel pin — headline withheld.
  • Gross yield excludes capex, furnishing, management, tax, and financing.

Next steps

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