
Playa Flamingo · Guanacaste
Sereno Reserve Villa A - Bahia Papagayo, CR
Condos · 2 bd · 2 ba · 1,432 sqft
$900,000
View broker listing ↗via Flamingo Beach Realty · asking
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Methodology
Comps & math
Start with the estimate blend — then scope, subject, search criteria, funnel, reconciliation, and exclusions. Same deterministic engine as the published estimate.
Estimate blend & adjustments
Yearly income from the comps that move our published estimate — map synced with the table. Switch to Your estimate to pick which Airbnbs to use (same math, your set). Map yield stays our published number.
Pick at least 2 Airbnbs to estimate.
Click a pin to add or remove it from your estimate. Hover a row to highlight the matching pin.
Available nearby (22 of 22 · 4 km)
Same product type, nearest first — add any to your estimate. Filters apply to this list and gray map pins.
| Pick | Comp | Type | Size | TTM rev | Match | Why excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PH Condo Elegant
Lovely view, enjoy the Sea, 65”TV 0.4 km · 5.00★ (14)walk to beachocean view | Rental unit → Condo (title) Entire rental unit | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $27k $346/nt · 37% occ $27k × 0.88 loc = $24k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Oceanview Villa w/Covered Patio | Walk to Beach 2.5 km · 5.00★ (76)provenstrong opwalk to beachocean view | Entire condo | 1BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $25k $130/nt · 76% occ $25k × 1.25 bed × 0.74 loc × 0.93 operator = $22k | Loose | Ocean-view listing — apple-to-apple pool uses non-view comps only. | |
Beautiful condo/covered balcony with ocean view!! 2.6 km · 5.00★ (94)ocean view | Condo (title) | 1BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $9k $126/nt · 62% occ $9k × 1.25 bed × 0.74 loc = $9k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Amazing Oceanview Condo with Private Pool 2.7 km · 5.00★ (587)provenlegend opwalk to beachocean view | Entire condo | 3BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $60k $197/nt · 89% occ $60k × 0.91 bed × 0.74 loc × 0.81 operator = $33k | Loose | Ocean-view listing — apple-to-apple pool uses non-view comps only. | |
3BR ocean-view condo with pools & scenic balcony 2.8 km · 4.50★ (52)walk to beachocean view | Rental unit → Condo (title) Entire rental unit | 3BR/2BA sleeps 8 | $11k $220/nt · 23% occ $11k × 0.91 bed × 0.74 loc = $8k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Cozy Resort Beach Condo in Playa Hermosa 2.8 km · 5.00★ (104)provenelite op | Condo (title) | 1BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $20k $149/nt · 53% occ $20k × 1.25 bed × 0.88 operator = $22k | Loose | Did not enter weighted blend. | |
Spacious 3 Bedroom Condo - Walk to the Beach 3.1 km · 5.00★ (45)provenwalk to beach | Entire condo | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $50k $214/nt · 77% occ $50k × 0.91 bed = $45k | Loose | Did not enter weighted blend. | |
Condo luxury, ocean view, near the beach 3.1 km · 5.00★ (26)walk to beachocean viewluxe STR (title)tier b | Condo (title) | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $37k $362/nt · 56% occ $37k × 0.86 luxe × 0.71 loc = $23k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Luxury Condo in Playa Hermosa Steps from the Beach 3.1 km · 5.00★ (15)walk to beachluxe STR (title) | Condo (title) | 2BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $36k $248/nt · 87% occ $36k × 0.86 luxe = $31k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Beachfront 3 bdrm in Playa Hermosa! 3.2 km · 5.00★ (136)provenelite opbeachfrontocean view | Rental unit Entire rental unit | 3BR/4BA sleeps 6 | $97k $544/nt · 65% occ $97k × 0.91 bed × 0.66 loc × 0.88 operator = $51k | Loose | Ocean-view listing — apple-to-apple pool uses non-view comps only. | |
Hermosa del Mar Luxury Beach Apt. 3.2 km · 5.00★ (103)provenelite opluxe STR (title) | Rental unit → Condo (title) Entire rental unit | 2BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $27k $273/nt · 49% occ $27k × 0.86 luxe × 0.88 operator = $20k | Fair | — | |
Hermoso Studio, Pool view #2 3.2 km · 4.50★ (20)tier b | Condo (title) | 1BR/1BA sleeps 2 | $9k $94/nt · 44% occ $9k × 1.25 bed × 0.96 loc = $11k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Hermoso Studio, Aparthotel Hermosa Paradise 3.3 km · 4.50★ (7) | Condo (title) | 1BR/1BA sleeps 2 | $10k $100/nt · 48% occ $10k × 1.25 bed = $13k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Blonies - Designer Beach Apt. - Coco Suite 3.5 km · 5.00★ (53)provenstrong opwalk to beach | Rental unit → Condo (title) Entire rental unit | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $45k $197/nt · 73% occ $45k × 0.93 operator = $42k | Loose | — | |
Brand new condo in Playa Hermosa 3.5 km · 5.00★ (32)provenwalk to beach | Rental unit → Condo (title) Entire rental unit | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $25k $198/nt · 50% occ $25k | Loose | — | |
Sol y Mar 3B • Beachfront 3BR Condo Playa Hermosa 3.6 km · 5.00★ (14)beachfront | Condo (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $80k $433/nt · 61% occ $80k × 0.91 bed × 0.88 loc = $64k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Hermoso Apartamento#1 en Condominio Vista Hermosa 3.6 km · 5.00★ (91)provenstrong op | Entire condo | 2BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $13k $100/nt · 50% occ $13k × 0.88 loc × 0.93 operator = $11k | Loose | Beachfront listing — subject is not beachfront (apple-to-apple pool). | |
Bright condo w/ ocean views & pool access 3.7 km · 5.00★ (9)ocean view | Condo (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 8 | $32k $476/nt · 27% occ $32k × 0.91 bed × 0.74 loc = $22k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Playa Hermosa: walk to beach, ground floor 2 b/rm 3.8 km · 5.00★ (60)provenstrong opwalk to beach | Entire condo | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $33k $139/nt · 85% occ $33k × 0.93 operator = $31k | Loose | — | |
CasaGuana 3.8 km · 4.50★ (26)walk to beach | Rental unit Entire rental unit | 3BR/3BA sleeps 8 | $19k $224/nt · 33% occ $19k × 0.91 bed = $17k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Sol y Mar 4A • Beachfront 3BR Ocean View 3.8 km · 5.00★ (19)beachfrontocean view | Entire condo | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $63k $356/nt · 73% occ $63k × 0.91 bed × 0.66 loc = $38k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Beautiful quiet 2 bedroom apartment 4.0 kmtier b | Condo (title) | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $20k $134/nt · 44% occ $20k × 0.93 operator = $19k | Loose | — |
Assignment scope & assumptions
- Engine
- V5 · condo
- Blend method
- Weighted blend
- Estimate basis
- Low indication
- Intended use
- Investor due-diligence support
Automated STR income screen for investor due diligence — not a USPAP appraisal, not a broker price opinion, not investment advice.
Subject property
- Product
- Condos · STR rentable
- Size
- 2BR / 2BA · 1,432 sqft
- Asking
- $900k
- Gallery segment
- Premium
- Traits
- beachClose, pool, outdoor_dining, patio, gym, workspace, crib, ocean_access_kayak
- Headline yield
- $14k/yr ÷ $900k = 1.6% gross
Market search criteria
- Radius: 4 km from subject coordinates.
- Bed band: 2BR ±1 (adjacent sizes scaled, not mixed blindly).
- Operator filter: 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM.
- Comp basis: V5 condo · 5 comps · corridor.
- V5 strict product type — Airbnb propertyType + title gate (condo vs home lane).
- Operator descale — elite track records (4.9★+ / deep reviews) stripped on comp TTM; for-sale subjects start unproven.
Comp selection funnel
- 1 proven operator within 1 km (informational — not a publish gate).
- Apple-to-apple headline pool — non-view proven operators only (subject has no confirmed ocean view).
- Apple-to-apple headline pool — walk-to-beach comps only (subject is not beachfront).
- Pin exact 2BR — 4 of 4 within 4 km.
- Our estimate comps frozen at enrich — 5 comps (same set that published the yield).
Calculation walkthrough
- 1Per-comp scaleraw TTM × bed scale × location descale × operator descaleBed scale bridges ±1BR comps to subject size. Location/luxury descale removes product premiums the subject lacks. Operator descale strips elite track-record lift (4.9★+ / deep reviews) — for-sale buyers start unproven.
- 2×Community tier−10% Unlisted condo STR band (Budget (C))
- 3Comp weight60% map distance · 40% bedroom matchCloser same-bed comps rank higher; view/walk/luxury/operator descale applied separately.
- 4×Near-small-proofConservative bed bridgeV5 condo — no band winsor; weights encode community, view, and walk spread.
- 5→Weighted bandLow / reconciled / high on 4 headline compsEach comp is bed- and location-scaled first; low and high bracket the blend; reconciled is the weight-averaged adjusted indication.
- 6→Headline revenueLow indication → $14k/yr
- 7÷Gross yield$14k ÷ $900k = 1.6%
Rejected from pool
93 comps did not move the estimate — summary by exclusion reason. Full list (same product type as subject) is collapsed under §1 Estimate blend.
Reconciliation
- Headline revenue uses the Low indication from the weighted blend — low and high bracket the adjusted comp range.
- Largest driver: Casa Blonies - Designer Beach Apt. - Coco Suite (33.9% of weighted blend).
- 4 of 5 headline comps carry bed, luxury, location, or operator descale before weighting.
Community tier
- Unlisted condo — Budget (C) (default tier-C haircut when no registered polygon).
- Same-complex proven STR preferred; ≥3 nearby proven condo comps can anchor when in-complex is thin or unlisted.
- Corridor villa comps do not anchor budget condo headlines.
V5 condo engine
- Condo lane — spread from community tier, finish/positioning, view and walk alignment (not pool table stakes).
- Strict product type: villa/home STR titles are hard-excluded; condo/apt types only (Airbnb propertyType + title).
- No corridor band winsor or geo pool-gap — comp weights carry location and product fit.
- Basis: V5 condo · 5 comps · corridor.
Location gap (tier 1)
- Local comps include beachfront, view, and walk-to-beach operators — we haircut the subject when it lacks those fixed premiums.
- Apple-to-apple headline pool — non-view proven operators only (subject has no confirmed ocean view).
- Apple-to-apple headline pool — walk-to-beach comps only (subject is not beachfront).
Product positioning (tier 2)
- Gallery segment: premium.
- No tier-2 positioning haircut — standard segment and rental-ready finish.
Our estimate revenue
- Published estimate: Low indication ~$14k/yr → ~1.6% gross on $900k asking.
- Basis: V5 condo · 5 comps · corridor.
- The comp tables below list exactly which rentals received positive weight in this estimate blend.
Other recipe adjustments
- +12% Gym / fitness (only 33% of nearby rentals have it)
- -10% no Air conditioning (99% of nearby rentals have it)
- + Pin exact 2BR — 5 of 5 within 4 km.
- + No same-type 2BR±1 condo STR (Airbnb propertyType) within 0.5 km — headline widened to corridor (~3.6 km median).
- + Thin local condo proof — headline uses conservative end of the band.
- Missing vs local winners (capex to close gap): Air conditioning, Hot tub, BBQ / grill.
- Top-quartile band uses p75 of the same proven-operator comp pool.
Deal score ingredients
- Projected gross yield: 2% gross yield (0/55 pts)
- Discount vs comps-implied value: 575% above comps-implied value (0/30 pts)
- Revenue potential: ~$14k/yr Low indication revenue (0/15 pts)
Flags & exclusions
- Few or scattered nearby rentals behind this estimate — lower confidence.
- Few or no rental comps within 2 km — verify revenue assumptions on the ground.
Limiting conditions
- —Broker asking price and listing copy — not verified sale or operating statements.
- —STR revenue from AirROI trailing-twelve-months; forward seasonality not projected separately.
- —Gallery vision segment is photo-based; finish gaps may lag physical inspection.
- —Coordinates approximate when broker omits parcel pin — headline withheld.
- —Gross yield excludes capex, furnishing, management, tax, and financing.
Next steps
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