4 min drive to beach
Playa Junquillal · Guanacaste
1.5 Acre Homesite with Water Meter - Playa Negra Realty
Lots · 6,102 m² lot
$190,000
View broker listing ↗via Playa Negra Realty · land asking
Weak build · thin comps
Land · build scenario
Estimated yearly income for this property
From successful nearby Airbnbs after bed and finish adjustments.
on all-in cost
Conservative
2%
$7k/yr
Moderate· Our estimate
3%
$15k/yr
Optimistic
4%
$21k/yr
We're not perfect — we're working to make these numbers as accurate as possible. Spot an error, or have an idea? Let us know.
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Methodology
Comps & math
Start with the estimate blend — then scope, subject, search criteria, funnel, reconciliation, and exclusions. Same deterministic engine as the published estimate.
§1
Estimate blend & adjustments
Yearly income from the comps that move our published estimate — map synced with the table. Switch to Your estimate to pick which Airbnbs to use (same math, your set). Map yield stays our published number.
Pick at least 2 Airbnbs to estimate.
🏠 Subject 80 left out
Click a pin to add or remove it from your estimate. Hover a row to highlight the matching pin.
Available nearby (80 of 80 · 4.5 km)
Same product type, nearest first — add any to your estimate. Filters apply to this list and gray map pins.
80 of 80 · 16 proven / 64 unproven
| Pick | Comp | Type | Size | TTM rev | Match | Why excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paraiso de Vida Secluded 3/3, Surrounded by Nature 1.0 km · 4.90★ (30)tier b | Unknown | 3BR/3BA sleeps 7 | $7k $229/nt · 26% occ $7k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Tree House Villa *Jungle View* 1.0 km · 4.60★ (13)tier b | Entire home | 3BR/5BA sleeps 6 | $26k $220/nt · 50% occ $26k × 0.88 loc = $23k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Perro Loco Hills - Paradise House 1.1 km · 5.00★ (2)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/2BA sleeps 7 | $9k $196/nt · 40% occ $9k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Tropical House Relaxation with Private Pool 1.2 km · 5.00★ (41)proventier b | Entire home | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $47k $215/nt · 61% occ $47k = $21k | Strong | — | |
Casa Mar 1.3 km · 5.00★ (6)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $13k $173/nt · 63% occ $13k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
*Casa Mango, Guanacaste* 1.4 km · 4.90★ (10)tier b | Entire home | 3BR/1BA sleeps 8 | $18k $172/nt · 48% occ $18k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Suzana at Dos Olas, 3br villa, Pool, Wi-Fi 1.6 km · 5.00★ (10)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/1BA sleeps 6 | $27k $160/nt · 61% occ $27k × 0.88 loc = $23k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Cocobolo House☀️🏄🏽♂️🌴 1.8 km · 4.65★ (53)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $9k $144/nt · 40% occ $9k × 0.88 loc = $8k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Paraiso 1.8 km · 5.00★ (5)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 9 | $8k $191/nt · 20% occ $8k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Surf, Sun & Serenity: Villa Nantiri 4 1.9 kmtier b | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $3k $162/nt · 58% occ $3k × 0.88 loc = $3k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Marycielo Jungle & Beach House 1.9 km · 5.00★ (35)provenwalk to beachtier b | Entire home | 3BR/2BA sleeps 7 | $60k $288/nt · 70% occ $60k × 0.88 loc = $53k | Strong | Walk-to-beach listing — subject lacks beach access (apple-to-apple pool). | |
Green Season Special 3bd home w pool - Pets ok! 1.9 km · 4.85★ (30)proventier b | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $14k $176/nt · 42% occ $14k | Strong | — | |
Private Pool Near the Beach 1.9 km · 4.25★ (8)tier b | Unknown | 3BR/2BA sleeps 8 | $17k $193/nt · 42% occ $17k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa DiTi Paradise 3
With a share pool 2.0 km · 5.00★ (2)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/1BA sleeps 8 | $5k $190/nt · 20% occ $5k × 1.25 bed × 0.96 loc = $5k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Luxury Jungle Home 2.0 km · 0.00★ (1)luxe STR (title)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $19k $196/nt · 43% occ $19k × 1.25 bed × 0.86 luxe × 0.88 loc = $19k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Entre Playas, Walk to beach 2.0 km · 5.00★ (8)walk to beachtier b | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/4BA sleeps 7 | $32k $244/nt · 48% occ $32k × 0.88 loc = $28k | Strong | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Julian 2BR w/ Pool, Walk to Beach 2.0 km · 4.95★ (19)walk to beachtier b | Entire home | 2BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $23k $150/nt · 57% occ $23k × 1.25 bed × 0.88 loc = $25k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Villa Feliz,Cozy 2BR Beach Home w/ Pool & Golf car 2.0 km · 4.75★ (8) | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $11k $204/nt · 29% occ $11k × 1.25 bed = $14k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Private Pool Oasis Near 5 Beaches &Top Restaurants 2.0 km · 4.85★ (60)proven | Entire home | 3BR/2BA sleeps 8 | $18k $307/nt · 27% occ $18k | Strong | — | |
Casa Anda - Modern Escape in Playa Negra 2.0 km · 4.90★ (13) | Entire home | 2BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $40k $229/nt · 52% occ $40k × 1.25 bed = $50k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Azul in Paraiso 2.0 km · 5.00★ (1)tier b | Entire home | 2BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $16k $281/nt · 85% occ $16k × 1.25 bed = $21k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
White House in Paradise 2.1 km · 5.00★ (11)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/2BA sleeps 8 | $12k $255/nt · 22% occ $12k × 0.88 loc = $11k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Kami - Stunning Beach Getaway 2.1 km · 5.00★ (6) | Entire home | 2BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $39k $286/nt · 39% occ $39k × 1.25 bed = $49k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Caballito de Mar 2.2 km · 5.00★ (10) | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 6 | $11k $168/nt · 35% occ $11k × 1.25 bed = $14k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
The Jewel of Callejones 2.2 km · 4.85★ (193)proven | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $20k $118/nt · 56% occ $20k × 1.25 bed × 0.78 loc = $20k | Fair | Beachfront listing — subject is not beachfront (apple-to-apple pool). | |
Casa Rumah - Stylish Villa Perfect for Groups 2.2 km · 4.65★ (11) | Entire home | 4BR/5BA sleeps 12 | $77k $478/nt · 48% occ $77k × 0.80 bed = $61k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Villa Langosta, Hidden Paradise 2.2 km · 5.00★ (42)proven | Entire home | 3BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $7k $127/nt · 23% occ $7k | Fair | — | |
#ecologicalstay near Playa Negra (beach) #casaoztica EV 🔌 2.2 km · 4.90★ (34)tier b | Entire cabin | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $3k $92/nt · 21% occ $3k × 1.25 bed = $4k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Villa Tortuga, Hidden Paradise 2.3 km · 4.65★ (3) | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/1BA sleeps 6 | $1k $124/nt · 22% occ $1k × 1.25 bed = $2k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Henton,Fiv drive from the beach. 2.3 km · 5.00★ (4) | Entire home | 2BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $24k $219/nt · 33% occ $24k × 1.25 bed = $30k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa SoL y Mar 2.3 km | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/1BA sleeps 2 | $8k $67/nt · 74% occ $8k × 1.25 bed = $10k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
French Cabin 2.4 km · 4.55★ (118) | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 5 | $5k $78/nt · 37% occ $5k × 1.25 bed = $6k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Luxury Beach House • Private Pool • Walk to Beach 2.4 km · 5.00★ (3)walk to beachluxe STR (title)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 4BR/4BA sleeps 8 | $36k $347/nt · 86% occ $36k × 0.80 bed × 0.86 luxe × 0.88 loc = $22k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa C-Peace 2.4 km · 5.00★ (3) | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $21k $267/nt · 24% occ $21k × 1.25 bed = $27k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Playa Negra Beachfront Villa Steps to Sand 2.7 kmbeachfront | Home / villa (title) | 4BR/3BA sleeps 10 | $8k $368/nt · 45% occ $8k × 0.80 bed × 0.78 loc = $5k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Stylish 4BR Villa Private Pool Starlink Near Beach 2.7 km · 4.85★ (39)proventier b | Entire home | 4BR/4BA sleeps 10 | $38k $384/nt · 37% occ $38k × 0.80 bed = $30k | Loose | Left out of headline pin pool — Pin exact 3BR — 4 of 4 within 4.5 km. | |
Casa Toby 2.8 km · 4.00★ (1) | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/2BA sleeps 7 | $3k $177/nt · 18% occ $3k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa de Descanso Mankü ~ Mankü Retreat House 2.8 km · 4.00★ (3) | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 10 | $19k $306/nt · 41% occ $19k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Two-bedroom budget eco cottage near Tamarindo 2.8 km · 4.80★ (10) | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $6k $61/nt · 49% occ $6k × 1.25 bed = $8k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Serene Stay at Rancho Dos Lunas. 3.1 km · 4.75★ (4)tier b | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $3k $64/nt · 83% occ $3k × 1.25 bed × 0.97 loc = $4k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Kalana Surf House Just Steps From The Ocean!! 3.1 km · 4.85★ (62)provenwalk to beachtier b | Entire home | 3BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $6k $171/nt · 18% occ $6k × 0.85 loc = $5k | Fair | Walk-to-beach listing — subject lacks beach access (apple-to-apple pool). | |
Quiet villa 3 bdr, huge parc, tropical wildlife 3.1 km · 5.00★ (10)tier b | Entire home | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $36k $211/nt · 69% occ $36k × 0.97 loc = $35k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Beach House with Pool, Playa Negra, Pargos 3.1 km · 4.65★ (102) | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $17k $161/nt · 58% occ $17k × 0.78 loc = $14k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Ocean-View Tree House Surrounded by Nature 3.1 km · 4.60★ (13)ocean view | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $19k $203/nt · 30% occ $19k × 1.25 bed × 0.74 loc = $18k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Ecovilla in secret place, pool quietness + monkeys 3.2 km · 4.85★ (42)proventier b | Unknown | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $16k $149/nt · 48% occ $16k × 1.25 bed × 0.97 loc = $20k | Loose | Strict product type — no Airbnb propertyType or name match; excluded from headline. | |
Private House with pool, fire pit and BBQ ranch. 3.2 km · 5.00★ (7) | Entire villa | 3BR/3BA sleeps 10 | $22k $246/nt · 37% occ $22k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Beachfront Home - Playa Negra Surf Break 3.3 km · 5.00★ (25)beachfronttier b | Home / villa (title) | 4BR/3BA sleeps 8 | $71k $555/nt · 68% occ $71k × 0.80 bed × 0.75 loc = $42k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Pacific House Black Beach-Toucan 3rd Floor 3.3 km · 5.00★ (1)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $10k $405/nt · 12% occ $10k × 1.25 bed × 0.85 loc = $11k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Margodine 3.3 km · 5.00★ (3)ocean view | Entire home | 4BR/4BA sleeps 8 | $14k $558/nt · 27% occ $14k × 0.80 bed = $11k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Ocean View Jungle Tree House - 3BR 3.3 km · 4.80★ (19)ocean view | Entire home | 3BR/3BA sleeps 8 | $14k $164/nt · 44% occ $14k × 0.74 loc = $10k | Fair | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Love at first sight Villa, in quiet private parc 3.3 km · 4.95★ (49)proventier b | Entire villa | 4BR/5BA sleeps 8 | $67k $356/nt · 61% occ $67k × 0.80 bed × 0.97 loc = $52k | Loose | Left out of headline pin pool — Pin exact 3BR — 4 of 4 within 4.5 km. | |
Rancho Coco, beautiful Villa surrounded by nature 3.4 km · 4.90★ (22)tier b | Entire villa | 4BR/4BA sleeps 10 | $21k $386/nt · 22% occ $21k × 0.80 bed × 0.97 loc = $16k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Two bedroom forest cottage Avellanas beach 3.6 km · 4.65★ (9)tier b | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $6k $61/nt · 30% occ $6k × 1.25 bed × 0.85 loc = $7k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Colibri Cabins #unit 1# 3.6 km · 4.90★ (32)tier b | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $7k $81/nt · 75% occ $7k × 1.25 bed × 0.97 loc = $9k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Playa Negra Villas # 3, Surf & Yoga 3.6 km · 4.95★ (90)provenstrong opwalk to beachtier b | Entire cottage | 2BR/1BA sleeps 6 | $13k $82/nt · 62% occ $13k × 1.25 bed × 0.85 loc × 0.93 operator = $13k | Loose | Walk-to-beach listing — subject lacks beach access (apple-to-apple pool). | |
Sunset house 3.6 km | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $13k $192/nt · 76% occ $13k × 1.25 bed × 0.88 loc = $15k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Modern house with panoramic ocean views 3.7 km · 5.00★ (1)ocean viewtier b | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/2BA sleeps 4 | $7k $220/nt · 39% occ $7k × 1.25 bed × 0.72 loc = $6k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Luxury ocean view villa 3.7 km · 5.00★ (4)ocean viewluxe STR (title)tier b | Entire home | 4BR/5BA sleeps 8 | $34k $542/nt · 19% occ $34k × 0.80 bed × 0.86 luxe × 0.72 loc = $17k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Paradise. well-being. top view. pool. beach 9min. 3.7 km · 4.95★ (65)provenstrong optier b | Entire home | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $13k $80/nt · 53% occ $13k × 1.25 bed × 0.97 loc × 0.93 operator = $14k | Loose | Left out of headline pin pool — Pin exact 3BR — 4 of 4 within 4.5 km. | |
Private Villa with Pool near Playa Negra 3.8 km · 4.90★ (56)provenstrong optier b | Entire villa | 4BR/3BA sleeps 9 | $58k $282/nt · 84% occ $58k × 0.80 bed × 0.97 loc × 0.93 operator = $42k | Loose | Left out of headline pin pool — Pin exact 3BR — 4 of 4 within 4.5 km. | |
Playa Negra 3.8 km · 4.95★ (16)tier b | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $1k $85/nt · 13% occ $1k × 1.25 bed × 0.97 loc = $2k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
3BR 2BA Island House in Heart of Playa Negra 3.8 km · 5.00★ (23)walk to beachtier b | Entire home | 3BR/2BA sleeps 6 | $21k $170/nt · 52% occ $21k × 0.85 loc = $18k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Private Mountain View Retreat w/ Pool, Playa Negra 3.9 km · 5.00★ (2)tier b | Entire home | 3BR/3BA sleeps 8 | $12k $384/nt · 100% occ $12k × 0.97 loc = $11k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Villa Paraiso Beach Home, Playa Negra, Costa Rica 3.9 km · 5.00★ (2)walk to beachocean view | Entire home | 4BR/3BA sleeps 8 | $91k $729/nt · 42% occ $91k × 0.80 bed × 0.88 loc = $64k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Cielo #7 3.9 km · 4.70★ (7)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $4k $200/nt · 31% occ $4k × 1.25 bed × 0.85 loc = $4k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Mango Tango Luxury Home Near the Beach! 3.9 km · 5.00★ (16)walk to beachluxe STR (title)tier b | Entire home | 4BR/3BA sleeps 8 | $64k $389/nt · 61% occ $64k × 0.80 bed × 0.86 luxe × 0.85 loc = $38k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Julia Playa Negra with Pool 3.9 km · 4.60★ (37)tier b | Entire home | 3BR/1BA sleeps 6 | $13k $102/nt · 38% occ $13k × 0.85 loc = $11k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Oceanview Villa prívate Pool 3.9 km · 4.60★ (5)ocean viewtier b | Entire home | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $22k $348/nt · 55% occ $22k × 0.72 loc = $16k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa de Flor 4.0 kmtier b | Home / villa (title) | 4BR/3BA sleeps 8 | $1k $137/nt · 52% occ $1k × 0.80 bed × 0.97 loc = $1k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Cielos (House in the Heavens) 4.0 km · 4.50★ (7)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $27k $270/nt · 84% occ $27k × 0.85 loc = $23k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
El Chic Shack, Authentic Gem Walk to the Beach 4.1 km · 4.90★ (46)walk to beachtier b | Unknown | 2BR/1BA sleeps 4 | $8k $93/nt · 97% occ $8k × 1.25 bed × 0.85 loc = $9k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Trogón - Mountain and Beach 4.1 km · 4.60★ (19) | Home / villa (title) | 4BR/2BA sleeps 10 | $21k $272/nt · 23% occ $21k × 0.80 bed = $17k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Casa Ventanas del Mar - Beachfront Home with Pool 4.2 km · 4.80★ (17)walk to beachtier b | Home / villa (title) | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $16k $616/nt · 27% occ $16k × 0.85 loc = $13k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
House of the Rising Tide, Pargos 4.2 km · 4.00★ (1)tier b | Home / villa (title) | 4BR/4BA sleeps 10 | $35k $305/nt · 34% occ $35k × 0.80 bed × 0.85 loc = $24k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
CASA BELTZA; house in the beach 4.2 km · 4.90★ (48)provenwalk to beachtier b | Entire chalet | 4BR/4BA sleeps 10 | $76k $678/nt · 52% occ $76k × 0.80 bed × 0.85 loc = $51k | Loose | Walk-to-beach listing — subject lacks beach access (apple-to-apple pool). | |
Casa Tranquilo in Black Beach 4.2 km · 4.80★ (37)proventier b | Home / villa (title) | 4BR/4BA sleeps 10 | $41k $433/nt · 34% occ $41k × 0.80 bed × 0.85 loc = $28k | Loose | Walk-to-beach listing — subject lacks beach access (apple-to-apple pool). | |
Villa Floramar 4.3 km · 5.00★ (5) | Home / villa (title) | 4BR/5BA sleeps 8 | $561k $4,320/nt · 63% occ $561k × 0.80 bed × 0.78 loc = $349k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Walk to Beach | Private Pool | 2-Acre Retreat 4.3 km · 4.65★ (28)walk to beachtier b | Entire home | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $29k $307/nt · 50% occ $29k × 0.85 loc = $25k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). | |
Playa Negra Surf House, waterfront and views! 4.4 km · 4.85★ (59)provenbeachfrontocean viewtier b | Entire home | 3BR/3BA sleeps 6 | $48k $300/nt · 48% occ $48k × 0.56 loc = $27k | Loose | Ocean-view listing — apple-to-apple pool uses non-view comps only. | |
Rio Verde Jungle House 4.5 km · 5.00★ (3) | Home / villa (title) | 2BR/2BA sleeps 5 | $12k $145/nt · 60% occ $12k × 1.25 bed = $15k | Loose | Not a proven operator (needs 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM). |
§2
Assignment scope & assumptions
- Engine
- V5 · lot
- Blend method
- Weighted blend
- Estimate basis
- Low indication
- Intended use
- Investor due-diligence support
Automated STR income screen for investor due diligence — not a USPAP appraisal, not a broker price opinion, not investment advice.
§3
Subject property
- Product
- Lots · land
- Size
- 3BR
- Asking
- $190k
- Community
- Tierra Pacifica
§4
Market search criteria
- Radius: 4.5 km from subject coordinates.
- Bed band: 3BR ±1 (adjacent sizes scaled, not mixed blindly).
- Operator filter: 4.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM.
- Comp basis: nearby proven-operator anchor pool.
- V5 strict product type — Airbnb propertyType + title gate (condo vs home lane).
- Operator descale — elite track records (4.9★+ / deep reviews) stripped on comp TTM; for-sale subjects start unproven.
§5
Comp selection funnel
1Market search80All unique STR comps within 4.5 km of subject pin.
2Proven operators254.8★+, 30+ reviews (or 4.75★+, 50+ reviews), 180+ bookable nights TTM
3Credible + weighted168 received positive weight after filters.
4Headline blend4Positive-weight picks that move published headline.
- Apple-to-apple headline pool — non-view proven operators only (subject has no confirmed ocean view). · Apple-to-apple headline pool — non-beachfront proven operators only (subject is not walk-to-beach or beachfront).
- Thin Tierra Pacifica in-polygon proof (0/6 proven) — corridor comps kept; cross-community down-weighted. Pin exact 3BR — 4 of 4 within 4.5 km.
- Comp band winsor: 1 outlier capped at min(p75×1.1, median×1.15) ($21k/yr scaled) — band spread 3.36× before cap.
- Headline band: low $7k · reconciled $15k · high $21k — min / weight-average / max of bed/location-scaled comps in the table.
§6
Calculation walkthrough
- 1Per-comp scaleraw TTM × bed scale × location descale × operator descaleBed scale bridges ±1BR comps to subject size. Location/luxury descale removes product premiums the subject lacks. Operator descale strips elite track-record lift (4.9★+ / deep reviews) — for-sale buyers start unproven.
- 2Comp weight60% map distance · 40% bedroom matchCloser same-bed comps rank higher; view/walk/luxury/operator descale applied separately.
- 3×Near-small-proofConservative bed bridgeV5 home — band winsor on blend ≥3; weights encode pool, view, walk, product and operator descale.
- 4→Weighted bandLow / reconciled / high on 4 headline compsEach comp is bed- and location-scaled first; low and high bracket the blend; reconciled is the weight-averaged adjusted indication.
- 5→Headline revenueReconciled indication → $15k/yr
- 6÷Gross yield$15k ÷ $190k = 3.2%
§7
Rejected from pool
85 comps did not move the estimate — summary by exclusion reason. Full list (same product type as subject) is collapsed under §1 Estimate blend.
Not proven operator (64)Walk / beach alignment (6)Outside headline blend (4)Product type mismatch (1)View alignment (1)
§8
Reconciliation
- Headline revenue uses the Low indication from the weighted blend — low and high bracket the adjusted comp range.
- Largest driver: Tropical House Relaxation with Private Pool (39.1% of weighted blend).
Map pick (single estimate)
- We rank every feasible bed × finish tier at this pin and publish the best defensible gross yield on all-in cost.
- This lot: 3BR standard · Reconciled indication revenue ~$15k/yr ÷ $483k all-in → ~3.2% gross.
- That pick drives map cards, rank, and the cached block at the top of the build pro forma — not the stress-test rows for other bedroom counts.
All-in cost (denominator)
- Land (asking) + construction at ~$1,000/m² Standard (in-house) × villa m² + pool/site works (~$45,000) + FF&E + ~18% soft costs.
- Typical Gold Coast contractor quotes run $1,200–2,400/m² — our rate is the operator's in-house crew, not a market quote.
- Standard tier: pool, A/C, and patio are in the baseline — not double-counted as upgrades.
Value on completion & build-vs-buy
- Uses the same Reconciled indication revenue as gross yield — not a higher median band.
- NOI = our estimate revenue × (1 − 40% operating expenses).
- Stabilized value = NOI ÷ 10% cap rate.
- Build-vs-buy equity = that value minus all-in cost (land + build + recipe).
What we excluded or flagged
- Few or scattered nearby rentals behind this build scenario — lower confidence.
- Recipe gaps vs local winners: Gym / fitness, Hot tub, BBQ / grill.
- The “What to build here” table stress-tests other bedroom counts at your selected finish tier using the same comp radius but without re-running the full recipe engine — expect lower numbers on thin 2BR pools.
§9
Limiting conditions
- —Broker asking price and listing copy — not verified sale or operating statements.
- —STR revenue from AirROI trailing-twelve-months; forward seasonality not projected separately.
- —Gallery vision segment is photo-based; finish gaps may lag physical inspection.
- —Coordinates approximate when broker omits parcel pin — headline withheld.
- —Gross yield excludes capex, furnishing, management, tax, and financing.
Next steps
Automated screen — open Check before you offer for what still needs a human double-check before you wire. Want me in the loop? Deal Desk builds a shortlist around homes like this.